Electronic Arts Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 144.17
| EA Stock | USD 163.67 0.57 0.35% |
Closest to current price Electronic long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Electronic |
Electronic Arts Target Price Odds to finish below 144.17
The tendency of Electronic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 144.17 or more in 90 days |
| 163.67 | 90 days | 144.17 | about 26.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electronic Arts to drop to $ 144.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.51 (This Electronic Arts probability density function shows the probability of Electronic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electronic Arts price to stay between $ 144.17 and its current price of $163.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.23 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Electronic Arts has a beta of 0.37 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Electronic Arts average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Electronic Arts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Electronic Arts has an alpha of 0.09, implying that it can generate a 0.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Electronic Arts Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Electronic Arts
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electronic Arts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Electronic Arts Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electronic Arts is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electronic Arts' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electronic Arts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electronic Arts within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Electronic Arts Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electronic Arts for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electronic Arts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MGM Up 1.4 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue |
Electronic Arts Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electronic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electronic Arts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electronic Arts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 272 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 B |
Electronic Arts Technical Analysis
Electronic Arts' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electronic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electronic Arts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electronic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Electronic Arts Predictive Forecast Models
Electronic Arts' time-series forecasting models is one of many Electronic Arts' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electronic Arts' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Electronic Arts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Electronic Arts for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electronic Arts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MGM Up 1.4 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue |
Check out Electronic Arts Backtesting, Electronic Arts Valuation, Electronic Arts Correlation, Electronic Arts Hype Analysis, Electronic Arts Volatility, Electronic Arts History as well as Electronic Arts Performance. For information on how to trade Electronic Stock refer to our How to Trade Electronic Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Electronic Arts. If investors know Electronic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Electronic Arts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 0.76 | Earnings Share 3.9 | Revenue Per Share 27.801 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.058 |
The market value of Electronic Arts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Electronic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Electronic Arts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Electronic Arts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Electronic Arts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Electronic Arts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Electronic Arts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Electronic Arts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Electronic Arts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.