Amundi MSCI (Germany) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 78.44
| EABE Etf | 78.78 0.14 0.18% |
Amundi |
Amundi MSCI Target Price Odds to finish below 78.44
The tendency of Amundi Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 78.44 or more in 90 days |
| 78.78 | 90 days | 78.44 | about 13.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi MSCI to drop to 78.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.93 (This Amundi MSCI Europe probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amundi MSCI Europe price to stay between 78.44 and its current price of 78.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi MSCI has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Amundi MSCI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi MSCI Europe will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi MSCI Europe has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Amundi MSCI Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Amundi MSCI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi MSCI Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amundi MSCI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi MSCI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi MSCI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi MSCI Europe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi MSCI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Amundi MSCI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amundi MSCI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amundi MSCI Europe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amundi MSCI Europe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Amundi MSCI Technical Analysis
Amundi MSCI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi MSCI Europe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amundi MSCI Predictive Forecast Models
Amundi MSCI's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi MSCI's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi MSCI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amundi MSCI Europe
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amundi MSCI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amundi MSCI Europe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amundi MSCI Europe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |