Esotiq Henderson (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.2
| EAH Stock | 40.20 8.30 17.11% |
Esotiq |
Esotiq Henderson Target Price Odds to finish over 46.2
The tendency of Esotiq Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 46.20 or more in 90 days |
| 40.20 | 90 days | 46.20 | about 31.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Esotiq Henderson to move over 46.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.07 (This Esotiq Henderson SA probability density function shows the probability of Esotiq Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Esotiq Henderson price to stay between its current price of 40.20 and 46.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Esotiq Henderson SA has a beta of -0.39 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Esotiq Henderson are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Esotiq Henderson SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Esotiq Henderson SA has an alpha of 0.0206, implying that it can generate a 0.0206 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Esotiq Henderson Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Esotiq Henderson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Esotiq Henderson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Esotiq Henderson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Esotiq Henderson Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Esotiq Henderson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Esotiq Henderson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Esotiq Henderson SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Esotiq Henderson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Esotiq Henderson Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Esotiq Henderson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Esotiq Henderson can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Esotiq Henderson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Esotiq Henderson has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Esotiq Henderson Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Esotiq Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Esotiq Henderson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Esotiq Henderson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 M |
Esotiq Henderson Technical Analysis
Esotiq Henderson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Esotiq Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Esotiq Henderson SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Esotiq Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Esotiq Henderson Predictive Forecast Models
Esotiq Henderson's time-series forecasting models is one of many Esotiq Henderson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Esotiq Henderson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Esotiq Henderson
Checking the ongoing alerts about Esotiq Henderson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Esotiq Henderson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Esotiq Henderson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Esotiq Henderson has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Esotiq Stock Analysis
When running Esotiq Henderson's price analysis, check to measure Esotiq Henderson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Esotiq Henderson is operating at the current time. Most of Esotiq Henderson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Esotiq Henderson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Esotiq Henderson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Esotiq Henderson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.