ERSTE GP (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.27
| EBOR Stock | EUR 25.40 0.20 0.78% |
ERSTE |
ERSTE GP Target Price Odds to finish below 23.27
The tendency of ERSTE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 23.27 or more in 90 days |
| 25.40 | 90 days | 23.27 | about 5.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ERSTE GP to drop to € 23.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.73 (This ERSTE GP BNK probability density function shows the probability of ERSTE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ERSTE GP BNK price to stay between € 23.27 and its current price of €25.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ERSTE GP has a beta of 0.57 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ERSTE GP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ERSTE GP BNK will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ERSTE GP BNK has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ERSTE GP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ERSTE GP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ERSTE GP BNK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ERSTE GP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ERSTE GP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ERSTE GP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ERSTE GP BNK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ERSTE GP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0008 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
ERSTE GP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ERSTE GP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ERSTE GP BNK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ERSTE GP BNK has accumulated about 15.74 B in cash with (7.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.41. |
ERSTE GP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ERSTE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ERSTE GP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ERSTE GP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.50 | |
| Float Shares | 509.3M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 15 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 2.58% |
ERSTE GP Technical Analysis
ERSTE GP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ERSTE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ERSTE GP BNK. In general, you should focus on analyzing ERSTE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ERSTE GP Predictive Forecast Models
ERSTE GP's time-series forecasting models is one of many ERSTE GP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ERSTE GP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ERSTE GP BNK
Checking the ongoing alerts about ERSTE GP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ERSTE GP BNK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ERSTE GP BNK has accumulated about 15.74 B in cash with (7.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.41. |
Other Information on Investing in ERSTE Stock
ERSTE GP financial ratios help investors to determine whether ERSTE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ERSTE with respect to the benefits of owning ERSTE GP security.