Eagle Point Credit Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 16.86
| ECC-PD Preferred Stock | 19.77 0.10 0.50% |
Eagle |
Eagle Point Target Price Odds to finish below 16.86
The tendency of Eagle Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.86 or more in 90 days |
| 19.77 | 90 days | 16.86 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eagle Point to drop to 16.86 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eagle Point Credit probability density function shows the probability of Eagle Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eagle Point Credit price to stay between 16.86 and its current price of 19.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eagle Point has a beta of 0.0784 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Eagle Point average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eagle Point Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eagle Point Credit has an alpha of 0.0533, implying that it can generate a 0.0533 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Eagle Point Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Eagle Point
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Point Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eagle Point Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eagle Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eagle Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eagle Point Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eagle Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Eagle Point Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eagle Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eagle Point Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Eagle Point Credit has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (103.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.43 M. | |
| Eagle Point generates negative cash flow from operations |
Eagle Point Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eagle Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eagle Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eagle Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.8 M |
Eagle Point Technical Analysis
Eagle Point's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eagle Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eagle Point Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eagle Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eagle Point Predictive Forecast Models
Eagle Point's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eagle Point's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eagle Point's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eagle Point Credit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eagle Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eagle Point Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Eagle Point Credit has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (103.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.43 M. | |
| Eagle Point generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Eagle Preferred Stock
Eagle Point financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eagle Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eagle with respect to the benefits of owning Eagle Point security.