SENERELECSPGDR REGS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.55
| ECEA Stock | EUR 11.00 0.00 0.00% |
SENERELECSPGDR |
SENERELECSPGDR REGS Target Price Odds to finish below 10.55
The tendency of SENERELECSPGDR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 10.55 or more in 90 days |
| 11.00 | 90 days | 10.55 | about 37.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SENERELECSPGDR REGS to drop to € 10.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.16 (This SENERELECSPGDR REGS 1 probability density function shows the probability of SENERELECSPGDR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SENERELECSPGDR REGS price to stay between € 10.55 and its current price of €11.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SENERELECSPGDR REGS 1 has a beta of -0.31 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SENERELECSPGDR REGS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SENERELECSPGDR REGS 1 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SENERELECSPGDR REGS 1 has an alpha of 0.0681, implying that it can generate a 0.0681 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SENERELECSPGDR REGS Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for SENERELECSPGDR REGS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SENERELECSPGDR REGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SENERELECSPGDR REGS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SENERELECSPGDR REGS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SENERELECSPGDR REGS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SENERELECSPGDR REGS 1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SENERELECSPGDR REGS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
SENERELECSPGDR REGS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SENERELECSPGDR REGS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SENERELECSPGDR REGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SENERELECSPGDR REGS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
SENERELECSPGDR REGS Technical Analysis
SENERELECSPGDR REGS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SENERELECSPGDR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SENERELECSPGDR REGS 1. In general, you should focus on analyzing SENERELECSPGDR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SENERELECSPGDR REGS Predictive Forecast Models
SENERELECSPGDR REGS's time-series forecasting models is one of many SENERELECSPGDR REGS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SENERELECSPGDR REGS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SENERELECSPGDR REGS
Checking the ongoing alerts about SENERELECSPGDR REGS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SENERELECSPGDR REGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SENERELECSPGDR REGS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Other Information on Investing in SENERELECSPGDR Stock
SENERELECSPGDR REGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether SENERELECSPGDR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SENERELECSPGDR with respect to the benefits of owning SENERELECSPGDR REGS security.