Ecgi Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.002247
| ECGI Stock | USD 0.0009 0 57.14% |
ECGI |
ECGI Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.002247
The tendency of ECGI Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0 after 90 days |
| 0.0009 | 90 days | 0 | about 82.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ECGI Holdings to stay under $ 0 after 90 days from now is about 82.63 (This ECGI Holdings probability density function shows the probability of ECGI Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ECGI Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0009 and $ 0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.23 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.3 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ECGI Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally ECGI Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ECGI Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ECGI Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECGI Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ECGI Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ECGI Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ECGI Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ECGI Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ECGI Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0004 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0062 |
ECGI Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ECGI Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ECGI Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ECGI Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ECGI Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ECGI Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| ECGI Holdings currently holds 1.82 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. ECGI Holdings has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist ECGI Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ECGI Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ECGI Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ECGI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ECGI Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| ECGI Holdings currently holds about 131.85 K in cash with (237.3 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of ECGI Holdings shares are held by company insiders |
ECGI Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ECGI Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ECGI Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECGI Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 3 M |
ECGI Holdings Technical Analysis
ECGI Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ECGI Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ECGI Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing ECGI Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ECGI Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
ECGI Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many ECGI Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ECGI Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ECGI Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about ECGI Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ECGI Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ECGI Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ECGI Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ECGI Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| ECGI Holdings currently holds 1.82 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. ECGI Holdings has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist ECGI Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ECGI Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ECGI Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ECGI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ECGI Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| ECGI Holdings currently holds about 131.85 K in cash with (237.3 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of ECGI Holdings shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in ECGI Pink Sheet
ECGI Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether ECGI Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ECGI with respect to the benefits of owning ECGI Holdings security.