Engie Energia (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 875.97
| ECL Stock | CLP 897.99 29.86 3.44% |
Engie |
Engie Energia Target Price Odds to finish below 875.97
The tendency of Engie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 875.97 or more in 90 days |
| 897.99 | 90 days | 875.97 | about 22.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Engie Energia to drop to 875.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 22.24 (This Engie Energia Chile probability density function shows the probability of Engie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Engie Energia Chile price to stay between 875.97 and its current price of 897.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Engie Energia has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Engie Energia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Engie Energia Chile will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Engie Energia Chile has an alpha of 0.0557, implying that it can generate a 0.0557 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Engie Energia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Engie Energia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Engie Energia Chile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Engie Energia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Engie Energia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Engie Energia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Engie Energia Chile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Engie Energia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Engie Energia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Engie Energia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Engie Energia Chile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Engie Energia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Engie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Engie Energia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Engie Energia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Engie Energia Technical Analysis
Engie Energia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Engie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Engie Energia Chile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Engie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Engie Energia Predictive Forecast Models
Engie Energia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Engie Energia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Engie Energia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Engie Energia Chile
Checking the ongoing alerts about Engie Energia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Engie Energia Chile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Engie Stock
Engie Energia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Engie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Engie with respect to the benefits of owning Engie Energia security.