Eczacibasi Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 186.5
| ECZYT Stock | TRY 204.10 1.10 0.54% |
Eczacibasi |
Eczacibasi Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish below 186.5
The tendency of Eczacibasi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 186.50 or more in 90 days |
| 204.10 | 90 days | 186.50 | about 34.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eczacibasi Yatirim to drop to 186.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.21 (This Eczacibasi Yatirim Holding probability density function shows the probability of Eczacibasi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eczacibasi Yatirim price to stay between 186.50 and its current price of 204.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eczacibasi Yatirim Holding has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eczacibasi Yatirim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eczacibasi Yatirim Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eczacibasi Yatirim Holding has an alpha of 0.1388, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Eczacibasi Yatirim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Eczacibasi Yatirim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eczacibasi Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eczacibasi Yatirim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eczacibasi Yatirim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eczacibasi Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eczacibasi Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eczacibasi Yatirim Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eczacibasi Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0036 |
Eczacibasi Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eczacibasi Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eczacibasi Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Eczacibasi Yatirim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eczacibasi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eczacibasi Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eczacibasi Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105 M |
Eczacibasi Yatirim Technical Analysis
Eczacibasi Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eczacibasi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eczacibasi Yatirim Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eczacibasi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eczacibasi Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models
Eczacibasi Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eczacibasi Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eczacibasi Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eczacibasi Yatirim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eczacibasi Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eczacibasi Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Eczacibasi Stock
Eczacibasi Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eczacibasi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eczacibasi with respect to the benefits of owning Eczacibasi Yatirim security.