Indointernet Tbk (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5,664

EDGE Stock  IDR 3,870  140.00  3.49%   
Indointernet Tbk's future price is the expected price of Indointernet Tbk instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indointernet Tbk PT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indointernet Tbk Backtesting, Indointernet Tbk Valuation, Indointernet Tbk Correlation, Indointernet Tbk Hype Analysis, Indointernet Tbk Volatility, Indointernet Tbk History as well as Indointernet Tbk Performance.
  
Please specify Indointernet Tbk's target price for which you would like Indointernet Tbk odds to be computed.

Indointernet Tbk Target Price Odds to finish below 5,664

The tendency of Indointernet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 3,870 90 days 3,870 
about 12.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indointernet Tbk to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 12.57 (This Indointernet Tbk PT probability density function shows the probability of Indointernet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indointernet Tbk has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Indointernet Tbk average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indointernet Tbk PT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indointernet Tbk PT has an alpha of 0.0112, implying that it can generate a 0.0112 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Indointernet Tbk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indointernet Tbk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indointernet Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,9363,9403,944
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,2273,2314,334
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,8603,8633,867
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,8024,1124,422
Details

Indointernet Tbk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indointernet Tbk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indointernet Tbk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indointernet Tbk PT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indointernet Tbk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
299.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Indointernet Tbk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indointernet Tbk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indointernet Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indointernet Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Indointernet Tbk Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indointernet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indointernet Tbk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indointernet Tbk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding404.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments335.9 B

Indointernet Tbk Technical Analysis

Indointernet Tbk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indointernet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indointernet Tbk PT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indointernet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indointernet Tbk Predictive Forecast Models

Indointernet Tbk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indointernet Tbk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indointernet Tbk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indointernet Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indointernet Tbk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indointernet Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indointernet Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Indointernet Stock

Indointernet Tbk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indointernet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indointernet with respect to the benefits of owning Indointernet Tbk security.