Endeavour Mining (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1577.63

EDV Stock   1,544  5.00  0.32%   
Endeavour Mining's future price is the expected price of Endeavour Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Endeavour Mining Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Endeavour Mining Backtesting, Endeavour Mining Valuation, Endeavour Mining Correlation, Endeavour Mining Hype Analysis, Endeavour Mining Volatility, Endeavour Mining History as well as Endeavour Mining Performance.
  
Please specify Endeavour Mining's target price for which you would like Endeavour Mining odds to be computed.

Endeavour Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 1577.63

The tendency of Endeavour Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1,578  after 90 days
 1,544 90 days 1,578 
about 17.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Endeavour Mining to stay under  1,578  after 90 days from now is about 17.55 (This Endeavour Mining Corp probability density function shows the probability of Endeavour Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Endeavour Mining Corp price to stay between its current price of  1,544  and  1,578  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Endeavour Mining Corp has a beta of -0.32 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Endeavour Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Endeavour Mining Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Endeavour Mining Corp has an alpha of 0.0239, implying that it can generate a 0.0239 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Endeavour Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Endeavour Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Endeavour Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5481,5511,553
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3661,3691,704
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.250.390.52
Details

Endeavour Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Endeavour Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Endeavour Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Endeavour Mining Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Endeavour Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
130.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Endeavour Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Endeavour Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Endeavour Mining Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Endeavour Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 10th of October 2024 Endeavour Mining paid 0.41 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Endeavour Mining Executes Share Buyback Program - MSN

Endeavour Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Endeavour Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Endeavour Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Endeavour Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding246.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments586.9 M

Endeavour Mining Technical Analysis

Endeavour Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Endeavour Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Endeavour Mining Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Endeavour Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Endeavour Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Endeavour Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Endeavour Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Endeavour Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Endeavour Mining Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Endeavour Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Endeavour Mining Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Endeavour Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 10th of October 2024 Endeavour Mining paid 0.41 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Endeavour Mining Executes Share Buyback Program - MSN

Other Information on Investing in Endeavour Stock

Endeavour Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Endeavour Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Endeavour with respect to the benefits of owning Endeavour Mining security.