Van Eck Etf Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 18.86
| EFUT Etf | 19.63 0.00 0.00% |
Van |
Van Eck Target Price Odds to finish over 18.86
The tendency of Van Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 18.86 in 90 days |
| 19.63 | 90 days | 18.86 | over 95.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Van Eck to stay above 18.86 in 90 days from now is over 95.62 (This Van Eck probability density function shows the probability of Van Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Van Eck price to stay between 18.86 and its current price of 19.63 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Van Eck has a beta of -0.51 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Van Eck are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Van Eck is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Van Eck has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Van Eck Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Van Eck
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Van Eck. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Van Eck's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Van Eck Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Van Eck is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Van Eck's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Van Eck, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Van Eck within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Van Eck Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Van Eck for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Van Eck can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Van Eck is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Van Eck generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Van Eck Technical Analysis
Van Eck's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Van Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Van Eck. In general, you should focus on analyzing Van Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Van Eck Predictive Forecast Models
Van Eck's time-series forecasting models is one of many Van Eck's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Van Eck's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Van Eck
Checking the ongoing alerts about Van Eck for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Van Eck help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Van Eck is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Van Eck generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
The market value of Van Eck is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Van that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Van Eck's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Van Eck's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Van Eck's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Van Eck's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Van Eck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Van Eck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Van Eck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.