Everest Group Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 379.67
| EG Stock | 389.00 1.50 0.39% |
Everest |
Everest Target Price Odds to finish below 379.67
The tendency of Everest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 379.67 or more in 90 days |
| 389.00 | 90 days | 379.67 | about 42.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Everest to drop to 379.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 42.08 (This Everest Group probability density function shows the probability of Everest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Everest Group price to stay between 379.67 and its current price of 389.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.58 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Everest will likely underperform. Additionally Everest Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Everest Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Everest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Everest Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Everest Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Everest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Everest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Everest Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Everest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Everest Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Everest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Everest Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Jefferies Downgrades Everest Group to Hold on Reserve Concerns |
Everest Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Everest Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Everest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Everest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Everest Technical Analysis
Everest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Everest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Everest Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Everest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Everest Predictive Forecast Models
Everest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Everest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Everest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Everest Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Everest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Everest Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Jefferies Downgrades Everest Group to Hold on Reserve Concerns |
Check out Everest Backtesting, Everest Valuation, Everest Correlation, Everest Hype Analysis, Everest Volatility, Everest History as well as Everest Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Reinsurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Everest. If investors know Everest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Everest listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 7.5 | Earnings Share 64.11 | Revenue Per Share 384.03 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 |
The market value of Everest Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Everest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Everest's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Everest's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Everest's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Everest's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Everest's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Everest is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Everest's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.