Edgio Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over -1.28
| EGIO Stock | USD 0.02 0.01 100.00% |
Edgio |
Edgio Target Price Odds to finish over -1.28
The tendency of Edgio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $(1.28) in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | (1.28) | about 82.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Edgio to stay above $(1.28) in 90 days from now is about 82.1 (This Edgio Inc probability density function shows the probability of Edgio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Edgio Inc price to stay between $(1.28) and its current price of $0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Edgio will likely underperform. In addition to that Edgio Inc has an alpha of 2108.6707, implying that it can generate a 2108.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Edgio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Edgio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edgio Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Edgio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Edgio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Edgio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Edgio Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Edgio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2,109 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 95.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Edgio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Edgio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Edgio Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Edgio Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Edgio Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Edgio Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Edgio Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 403.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (141.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.86 M. | |
| Edgio Inc currently holds about 77.33 M in cash with (38.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Edgio Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Edgio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Edgio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Edgio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Edgio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 182.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 74 M |
Edgio Technical Analysis
Edgio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Edgio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Edgio Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Edgio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Edgio Predictive Forecast Models
Edgio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Edgio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Edgio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Edgio Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Edgio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Edgio Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Edgio Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Edgio Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Edgio Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Edgio Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 403.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (141.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.86 M. | |
| Edgio Inc currently holds about 77.33 M in cash with (38.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Edgio Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Check out Edgio Backtesting, Edgio Valuation, Edgio Correlation, Edgio Hype Analysis, Edgio Volatility, Edgio History as well as Edgio Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Edgio. If investors know Edgio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Edgio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (26.00) | Revenue Per Share 72.469 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets (0.14) | Return On Equity (0.63) |
The market value of Edgio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Edgio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Edgio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Edgio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Edgio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Edgio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Edgio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Edgio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Edgio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.