EgnsINVEST Ejendomme (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 124.00
| EGNETY Stock | DKK 129.00 3.00 2.38% |
EgnsINVEST |
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Target Price Odds to finish below 124.00
The tendency of EgnsINVEST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 124.00 or more in 90 days |
| 129.00 | 90 days | 124.00 | nearly 4.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EgnsINVEST Ejendomme to drop to kr 124.00 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.1 (This EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Tyskland probability density function shows the probability of EgnsINVEST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EgnsINVEST Ejendomme price to stay between kr 124.00 and its current price of kr129.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Tyskland has a beta of -0.15 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding EgnsINVEST Ejendomme are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Tyskland is likely to outperform the market. Additionally EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Tyskland has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for EgnsINVEST Ejendomme
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EgnsINVEST Ejendomme. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EgnsINVEST Ejendomme's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EgnsINVEST Ejendomme is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EgnsINVEST Ejendomme's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Tyskland, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EgnsINVEST Ejendomme within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EgnsINVEST Ejendomme for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EgnsINVEST Ejendomme can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EgnsINVEST Ejendomme generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EgnsINVEST Ejendomme has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EgnsINVEST Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EgnsINVEST Ejendomme's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EgnsINVEST Ejendomme's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 7.1 M |
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Technical Analysis
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EgnsINVEST Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Tyskland. In general, you should focus on analyzing EgnsINVEST Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme Predictive Forecast Models
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme's time-series forecasting models is one of many EgnsINVEST Ejendomme's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EgnsINVEST Ejendomme's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EgnsINVEST Ejendomme
Checking the ongoing alerts about EgnsINVEST Ejendomme for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EgnsINVEST Ejendomme help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EgnsINVEST Ejendomme generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EgnsINVEST Ejendomme has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in EgnsINVEST Stock
EgnsINVEST Ejendomme financial ratios help investors to determine whether EgnsINVEST Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EgnsINVEST with respect to the benefits of owning EgnsINVEST Ejendomme security.