Eagle Plains Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 15.58

EGPLF Stock  USD 0.07  0.01  16.67%   
Eagle Plains' future price is the expected price of Eagle Plains instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eagle Plains Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eagle Plains Backtesting, Eagle Plains Valuation, Eagle Plains Correlation, Eagle Plains Hype Analysis, Eagle Plains Volatility, Eagle Plains History as well as Eagle Plains Performance.
  
Please specify Eagle Plains' target price for which you would like Eagle Plains odds to be computed.

Eagle Plains Target Price Odds to finish over 15.58

The tendency of Eagle Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.58  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 15.58 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eagle Plains to move over $ 15.58  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Eagle Plains Resources probability density function shows the probability of Eagle Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eagle Plains Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.07  and $ 15.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Eagle Plains Resources has a beta of -0.79 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eagle Plains are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eagle Plains Resources is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Eagle Plains Resources has an alpha of 1.0017, implying that it can generate a 1.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eagle Plains Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eagle Plains

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Plains Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0715.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0715.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0715.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.08
Details

Eagle Plains Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eagle Plains is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eagle Plains' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eagle Plains Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eagle Plains within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Eagle Plains Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eagle Plains for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eagle Plains Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eagle Plains is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Eagle Plains has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Eagle Plains appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Eagle Plains has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Eagle Plains Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eagle Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eagle Plains' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eagle Plains' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.7 M

Eagle Plains Technical Analysis

Eagle Plains' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eagle Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eagle Plains Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eagle Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eagle Plains Predictive Forecast Models

Eagle Plains' time-series forecasting models is one of many Eagle Plains' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eagle Plains' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eagle Plains Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eagle Plains for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eagle Plains Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eagle Plains is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Eagle Plains has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Eagle Plains appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Eagle Plains has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Other Information on Investing in Eagle Pink Sheet

Eagle Plains financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eagle Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eagle with respect to the benefits of owning Eagle Plains security.