Ege Profil (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 156.14
| EGPRO Stock | TRY 157.50 4.30 2.81% |
Ege |
Ege Profil Target Price Odds to finish below 156.14
The tendency of Ege Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 156.14 or more in 90 days |
| 157.50 | 90 days | 156.14 | about 67.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ege Profil to drop to 156.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 67.37 (This Ege Profil Ticaret probability density function shows the probability of Ege Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ege Profil Ticaret price to stay between 156.14 and its current price of 157.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ege Profil has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ege Profil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ege Profil Ticaret will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ege Profil Ticaret has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ege Profil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ege Profil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ege Profil Ticaret. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ege Profil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ege Profil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ege Profil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ege Profil Ticaret, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ege Profil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Ege Profil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ege Profil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ege Profil Ticaret can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ege Profil Ticaret generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ege Profil Ticaret has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ege Profil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ege Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ege Profil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ege Profil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81 M |
Ege Profil Technical Analysis
Ege Profil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ege Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ege Profil Ticaret. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ege Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ege Profil Predictive Forecast Models
Ege Profil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ege Profil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ege Profil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ege Profil Ticaret
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ege Profil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ege Profil Ticaret help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ege Profil Ticaret generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ege Profil Ticaret has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ege Stock
Ege Profil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ege Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ege with respect to the benefits of owning Ege Profil security.