Eguana Technologies Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.18

EGTYF Stock  USD 0.01  0  48.33%   
Eguana Technologies' future price is the expected price of Eguana Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eguana Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eguana Technologies Backtesting, Eguana Technologies Valuation, Eguana Technologies Correlation, Eguana Technologies Hype Analysis, Eguana Technologies Volatility, Eguana Technologies History as well as Eguana Technologies Performance.
  
Please specify Eguana Technologies' target price for which you would like Eguana Technologies odds to be computed.

Eguana Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 0.18

The tendency of Eguana OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.18  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.18 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eguana Technologies to move over $ 0.18  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Eguana Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Eguana OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eguana Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 0.18  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Eguana Technologies has a beta of -3.88 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Eguana Technologies are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Eguana Technologies is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Eguana Technologies has an alpha of 3.1721, implying that it can generate a 3.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eguana Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eguana Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eguana Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eguana Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0118.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0118.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.0118.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.010.01
Details

Eguana Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eguana Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eguana Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eguana Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eguana Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.88
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Eguana Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eguana Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eguana Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eguana Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Eguana Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Eguana Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Eguana Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 6.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (166.71 K).
Eguana Technologies has accumulated about 1.65 M in cash with (15.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Eguana Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eguana OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eguana Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eguana Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid500 K

Eguana Technologies Technical Analysis

Eguana Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eguana OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eguana Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eguana OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eguana Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Eguana Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Eguana Technologies' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eguana Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eguana Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eguana Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eguana Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eguana Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Eguana Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Eguana Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Eguana Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 6.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (166.71 K).
Eguana Technologies has accumulated about 1.65 M in cash with (15.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Eguana OTC Stock

Eguana Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eguana OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eguana with respect to the benefits of owning Eguana Technologies security.