Ehang Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.35
| EH Stock | USD 15.52 0.53 3.54% |
Ehang |
Ehang Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 13.35
The tendency of Ehang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.35 or more in 90 days |
| 15.52 | 90 days | 13.35 | about 20.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ehang Holdings to drop to $ 13.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.18 (This Ehang Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Ehang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ehang Holdings price to stay between $ 13.35 and its current price of $15.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.68 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ehang Holdings has a beta of 0.55 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ehang Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ehang Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ehang Holdings has an alpha of 0.2435, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ehang Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ehang Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ehang Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ehang Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ehang Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ehang Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ehang Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ehang Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Ehang Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ehang Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ehang Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ehang Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Ehang Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 117.43 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (301.7 M) with gross profit of 29.22 M. | |
| Ehang Holdings reports about 240.68 M in cash with (88.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.21. | |
| Ehang Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: EH Soars Over 6 percent as EHangs Delivery Surpasses Expectations |
Ehang Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ehang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ehang Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ehang Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 300.1 M |
Ehang Holdings Technical Analysis
Ehang Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ehang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ehang Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ehang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ehang Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Ehang Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ehang Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ehang Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ehang Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ehang Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ehang Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ehang Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Ehang Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 117.43 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (301.7 M) with gross profit of 29.22 M. | |
| Ehang Holdings reports about 240.68 M in cash with (88.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.21. | |
| Ehang Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: EH Soars Over 6 percent as EHangs Delivery Surpasses Expectations |
Check out Ehang Holdings Backtesting, Ehang Holdings Valuation, Ehang Holdings Correlation, Ehang Holdings Hype Analysis, Ehang Holdings Volatility, Ehang Holdings History as well as Ehang Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Ehang Stock please use our How to Invest in Ehang Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ehang Holdings. If investors know Ehang will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ehang Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.54) | Revenue Per Share 3.923 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 9.196 | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (0.71) |
The market value of Ehang Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ehang that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ehang Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ehang Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ehang Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ehang Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ehang Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ehang Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ehang Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.