Exchange Income Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.88

EIF Stock  CAD 56.79  0.05  0.09%   
Exchange Income's future price is the expected price of Exchange Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Exchange Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Exchange Income Backtesting, Exchange Income Valuation, Exchange Income Correlation, Exchange Income Hype Analysis, Exchange Income Volatility, Exchange Income History as well as Exchange Income Performance.
  
At this time, Exchange Income's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of December 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 1.87, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.66. Please specify Exchange Income's target price for which you would like Exchange Income odds to be computed.

Exchange Income Target Price Odds to finish below 54.88

The tendency of Exchange Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 54.88  or more in 90 days
 56.79 90 days 54.88 
about 74.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exchange Income to drop to C$ 54.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 74.79 (This Exchange Income probability density function shows the probability of Exchange Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exchange Income price to stay between C$ 54.88  and its current price of C$56.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Exchange Income has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Exchange Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Exchange Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Exchange Income has an alpha of 0.1907, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Exchange Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Exchange Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exchange Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.6956.6957.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.1164.2065.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.5157.5158.52
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.690.750.80
Details

Exchange Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exchange Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exchange Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exchange Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exchange Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
2.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Exchange Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exchange Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exchange Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Exchange Income Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exchange Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exchange Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exchange Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52 M
Cash And Short Term Investments103.6 M

Exchange Income Technical Analysis

Exchange Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exchange Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exchange Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exchange Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Exchange Income Predictive Forecast Models

Exchange Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exchange Income's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exchange Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Exchange Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Exchange Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exchange Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Exchange Stock

Exchange Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exchange Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exchange with respect to the benefits of owning Exchange Income security.