EIH Associated (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 381.1
| EIHAHOTELS | 383.60 3.50 0.92% |
EIH |
EIH Associated Target Price Odds to finish below 381.1
The tendency of EIH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 381.10 or more in 90 days |
| 383.60 | 90 days | 381.10 | about 31.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EIH Associated to drop to 381.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.07 (This EIH Associated Hotels probability density function shows the probability of EIH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EIH Associated Hotels price to stay between 381.10 and its current price of 383.6 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EIH Associated has a beta of 0.0378 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EIH Associated average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EIH Associated Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EIH Associated Hotels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. EIH Associated Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EIH Associated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EIH Associated Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EIH Associated Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EIH Associated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EIH Associated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EIH Associated Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EIH Associated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
EIH Associated Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EIH Associated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EIH Associated Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EIH Associated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EIH Associated is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 11 Bonus Share Recommended, Rs 6 Dividend Next Hotel Stock Hits 52-Week High, YTD Return 92 percent - Goodreturns - Oficjalny Portal Gminy Brzesko |
EIH Associated Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EIH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EIH Associated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EIH Associated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
EIH Associated Technical Analysis
EIH Associated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EIH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EIH Associated Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing EIH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EIH Associated Predictive Forecast Models
EIH Associated's time-series forecasting models is one of many EIH Associated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EIH Associated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EIH Associated Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about EIH Associated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EIH Associated Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EIH Associated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EIH Associated is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 11 Bonus Share Recommended, Rs 6 Dividend Next Hotel Stock Hits 52-Week High, YTD Return 92 percent - Goodreturns - Oficjalny Portal Gminy Brzesko |
Additional Tools for EIH Stock Analysis
When running EIH Associated's price analysis, check to measure EIH Associated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EIH Associated is operating at the current time. Most of EIH Associated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EIH Associated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EIH Associated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EIH Associated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.