EDISON INTL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.7
| EIX Stock | EUR 83.24 0.10 0.12% |
EDISON |
EDISON INTL Target Price Odds to finish below 77.7
The tendency of EDISON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 77.70 or more in 90 days |
| 83.24 | 90 days | 77.70 | about 57.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EDISON INTL to drop to € 77.70 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.97 (This EDISON INTL probability density function shows the probability of EDISON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EDISON INTL price to stay between € 77.70 and its current price of €83.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EDISON INTL has a beta of 0.48 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EDISON INTL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EDISON INTL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EDISON INTL has an alpha of 0.0906, implying that it can generate a 0.0906 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). EDISON INTL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EDISON INTL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EDISON INTL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EDISON INTL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EDISON INTL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EDISON INTL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EDISON INTL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EDISON INTL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
EDISON INTL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EDISON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EDISON INTL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EDISON INTL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 382.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -1.1 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 4.6 B |
EDISON INTL Technical Analysis
EDISON INTL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EDISON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EDISON INTL. In general, you should focus on analyzing EDISON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EDISON INTL Predictive Forecast Models
EDISON INTL's time-series forecasting models is one of many EDISON INTL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EDISON INTL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards EDISON INTL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, EDISON INTL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from EDISON INTL options trading.
Other Information on Investing in EDISON Stock
EDISON INTL financial ratios help investors to determine whether EDISON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EDISON with respect to the benefits of owning EDISON INTL security.