East Japan Railway Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 9.20

EJPRY Stock  USD 9.20  0.30  3.37%   
East Japan's future price is the expected price of East Japan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of East Japan Railway performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out East Japan Backtesting, East Japan Valuation, East Japan Correlation, East Japan Hype Analysis, East Japan Volatility, East Japan History as well as East Japan Performance.
  
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East Japan Target Price Odds to finish over 9.20

The tendency of East Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.20 90 days 9.20 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of East Japan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This East Japan Railway probability density function shows the probability of East Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon East Japan Railway has a beta of -0.0562 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding East Japan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, East Japan Railway is likely to outperform the market. Additionally East Japan Railway has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   East Japan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for East Japan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as East Japan Railway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.869.2010.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.758.099.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.508.8410.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.189.7310.28
Details

East Japan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. East Japan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the East Japan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold East Japan Railway, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of East Japan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

East Japan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of East Japan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for East Japan Railway can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
East Japan Railway generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
East Japan Railway has accumulated 3.74 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. East Japan Railway has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist East Japan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, East Japan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like East Japan Railway sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for East to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about East Japan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.98 T. Net Loss for the year was (94.95 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 382.9 B.

East Japan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of East Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential East Japan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. East Japan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments171.3 B

East Japan Technical Analysis

East Japan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. East Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of East Japan Railway. In general, you should focus on analyzing East Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

East Japan Predictive Forecast Models

East Japan's time-series forecasting models is one of many East Japan's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary East Japan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about East Japan Railway

Checking the ongoing alerts about East Japan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for East Japan Railway help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
East Japan Railway generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
East Japan Railway has accumulated 3.74 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.71, which is about average as compared to similar companies. East Japan Railway has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist East Japan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, East Japan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like East Japan Railway sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for East to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about East Japan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.98 T. Net Loss for the year was (94.95 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 382.9 B.

Additional Tools for East Pink Sheet Analysis

When running East Japan's price analysis, check to measure East Japan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy East Japan is operating at the current time. Most of East Japan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of East Japan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move East Japan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of East Japan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.