AGRICULTBK HADR25 (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.69
| EK7A Stock | EUR 12.00 0.10 0.84% |
AGRICULTBK |
AGRICULTBK HADR25 Target Price Odds to finish below 1.69
The tendency of AGRICULTBK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.69 or more in 90 days |
| 12.00 | 90 days | 1.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AGRICULTBK HADR25 to drop to € 1.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC probability density function shows the probability of AGRICULTBK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AGRICULTBK HADR25 price to stay between € 1.69 and its current price of €12.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC has a beta of -0.2 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AGRICULTBK HADR25 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC has an alpha of 0.3748, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AGRICULTBK HADR25 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AGRICULTBK HADR25
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGRICULTBK HADR25. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AGRICULTBK HADR25 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AGRICULTBK HADR25 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AGRICULTBK HADR25's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AGRICULTBK HADR25 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
AGRICULTBK HADR25 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AGRICULTBK HADR25 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AGRICULTBK HADR25 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC has accumulated about 4.21 T in cash with (1.34 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 300.7, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
AGRICULTBK HADR25 Technical Analysis
AGRICULTBK HADR25's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AGRICULTBK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC. In general, you should focus on analyzing AGRICULTBK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AGRICULTBK HADR25 Predictive Forecast Models
AGRICULTBK HADR25's time-series forecasting models is one of many AGRICULTBK HADR25's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AGRICULTBK HADR25's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AGRICULTBK HADR25
Checking the ongoing alerts about AGRICULTBK HADR25 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AGRICULTBK HADR25 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC has accumulated about 4.21 T in cash with (1.34 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 300.7, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in AGRICULTBK Stock
AGRICULTBK HADR25 financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGRICULTBK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGRICULTBK with respect to the benefits of owning AGRICULTBK HADR25 security.