Ekachai Medical (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.92

EKH Stock  THB 6.50  0.00  0.00%   
Ekachai Medical's future price is the expected price of Ekachai Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ekachai Medical Care performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ekachai Medical Backtesting, Ekachai Medical Valuation, Ekachai Medical Correlation, Ekachai Medical Hype Analysis, Ekachai Medical Volatility, Ekachai Medical History as well as Ekachai Medical Performance.
  
Please specify Ekachai Medical's target price for which you would like Ekachai Medical odds to be computed.

Ekachai Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 6.92

The tendency of Ekachai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  6.92  or more in 90 days
 6.50 90 days 6.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ekachai Medical to move over  6.92  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ekachai Medical Care probability density function shows the probability of Ekachai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ekachai Medical Care price to stay between its current price of  6.50  and  6.92  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ekachai Medical has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ekachai Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ekachai Medical Care will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ekachai Medical Care has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ekachai Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ekachai Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ekachai Medical Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.616.507.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.696.587.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.646.547.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.386.566.74
Details

Ekachai Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ekachai Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ekachai Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ekachai Medical Care, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ekachai Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Ekachai Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ekachai Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ekachai Medical Care can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ekachai Medical Care generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ekachai Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ekachai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ekachai Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ekachai Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding600 M

Ekachai Medical Technical Analysis

Ekachai Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ekachai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ekachai Medical Care. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ekachai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ekachai Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Ekachai Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ekachai Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ekachai Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ekachai Medical Care

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ekachai Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ekachai Medical Care help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ekachai Medical Care generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ekachai Stock

Ekachai Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ekachai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ekachai with respect to the benefits of owning Ekachai Medical security.