Ekopak BV (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.2
| EKOP Stock | 15.70 0.30 1.88% |
Ekopak |
Ekopak BV Target Price Odds to finish below 16.2
The tendency of Ekopak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 16.20 after 90 days |
| 15.70 | 90 days | 16.20 | about 32.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ekopak BV to stay under 16.20 after 90 days from now is about 32.42 (This Ekopak BV probability density function shows the probability of Ekopak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ekopak BV price to stay between its current price of 15.70 and 16.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ekopak BV has a beta of 0.56 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ekopak BV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ekopak BV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ekopak BV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ekopak BV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ekopak BV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ekopak BV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ekopak BV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ekopak BV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ekopak BV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ekopak BV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ekopak BV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Ekopak BV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ekopak BV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ekopak BV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ekopak BV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 11.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (700 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.16 M. | |
| Ekopak BV generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ekopak BV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ekopak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ekopak BV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ekopak BV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 522 K | |
| Shares Float | 3.3 M |
Ekopak BV Technical Analysis
Ekopak BV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ekopak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ekopak BV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ekopak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ekopak BV Predictive Forecast Models
Ekopak BV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ekopak BV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ekopak BV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ekopak BV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ekopak BV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ekopak BV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ekopak BV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 11.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (700 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.16 M. | |
| Ekopak BV generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Ekopak Stock Analysis
When running Ekopak BV's price analysis, check to measure Ekopak BV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ekopak BV is operating at the current time. Most of Ekopak BV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ekopak BV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ekopak BV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ekopak BV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.