Electric Royalties Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.14
| ELECF Stock | USD 0.12 0.02 14.29% |
Electric |
Electric Royalties Target Price Odds to finish over 0.14
The tendency of Electric OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.14 or more in 90 days |
| 0.12 | 90 days | 0.14 | about 21.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electric Royalties to move over $ 0.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.73 (This Electric Royalties probability density function shows the probability of Electric OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electric Royalties price to stay between its current price of $ 0.12 and $ 0.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Electric Royalties has a beta of -2.7 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Electric Royalties are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Electric Royalties is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Electric Royalties has an alpha of 0.3353, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Electric Royalties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Electric Royalties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electric Royalties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electric Royalties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Electric Royalties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electric Royalties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electric Royalties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electric Royalties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electric Royalties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Electric Royalties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electric Royalties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electric Royalties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Electric Royalties had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Electric Royalties has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Electric Royalties has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Electric Royalties has accumulated about 3.68 M in cash with (1.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Electric Royalties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electric OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electric Royalties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electric Royalties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.1 M |
Electric Royalties Technical Analysis
Electric Royalties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electric OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electric Royalties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electric OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Electric Royalties Predictive Forecast Models
Electric Royalties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Electric Royalties' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electric Royalties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Electric Royalties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Electric Royalties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electric Royalties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Electric Royalties had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Electric Royalties has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Electric Royalties has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Electric Royalties has accumulated about 3.68 M in cash with (1.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Electric OTC Stock
Electric Royalties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Electric OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Electric with respect to the benefits of owning Electric Royalties security.