Electroarges (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.29
| ELGS Stock | 0.14 0.01 6.67% |
Electroarges |
Electroarges Target Price Odds to finish over 11.29
The tendency of Electroarges Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.29 or more in 90 days |
| 0.14 | 90 days | 11.29 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electroarges to move over 11.29 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Electroarges S probability density function shows the probability of Electroarges Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electroarges S price to stay between its current price of 0.14 and 11.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Electroarges has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Electroarges average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Electroarges S will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Electroarges S has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Electroarges Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Electroarges
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electroarges S. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Electroarges Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electroarges is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electroarges' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electroarges S, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electroarges within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Electroarges Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electroarges for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electroarges S can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Electroarges S generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Electroarges S has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Electroarges S has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Electroarges Technical Analysis
Electroarges' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electroarges Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electroarges S. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electroarges Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Electroarges Predictive Forecast Models
Electroarges' time-series forecasting models is one of many Electroarges' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electroarges' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Electroarges S
Checking the ongoing alerts about Electroarges for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electroarges S help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Electroarges S generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Electroarges S has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Electroarges S has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Electroarges Stock
Electroarges financial ratios help investors to determine whether Electroarges Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Electroarges with respect to the benefits of owning Electroarges security.