Elior SCA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.77
| ELIOR Stock | EUR 2.65 0.15 6.00% |
Elior |
Elior SCA Target Price Odds to finish over 16.77
The tendency of Elior Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 16.77 or more in 90 days |
| 2.65 | 90 days | 16.77 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Elior SCA to move over € 16.77 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Elior SCA probability density function shows the probability of Elior Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Elior SCA price to stay between its current price of € 2.65 and € 16.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Elior SCA has a beta of -0.14 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Elior SCA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Elior SCA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Elior SCA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Elior SCA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Elior SCA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elior SCA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Elior SCA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Elior SCA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Elior SCA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Elior SCA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Elior SCA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Elior SCA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Elior SCA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Elior SCA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Elior SCA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Elior SCA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Elior SCA has accumulated 1.21 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.99, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Elior SCA has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Elior SCA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Elior SCA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Elior SCA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Elior to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Elior SCA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 654 M. | |
| Elior SCA has accumulated about 64 M in cash with (33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of Elior SCA shares are held by company insiders |
Elior SCA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Elior Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Elior SCA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elior SCA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 174.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64 M |
Elior SCA Technical Analysis
Elior SCA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Elior Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Elior SCA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Elior Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Elior SCA Predictive Forecast Models
Elior SCA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Elior SCA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Elior SCA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Elior SCA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Elior SCA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Elior SCA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Elior SCA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Elior SCA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Elior SCA has accumulated 1.21 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.99, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Elior SCA has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Elior SCA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Elior SCA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Elior SCA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Elior to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Elior SCA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 654 M. | |
| Elior SCA has accumulated about 64 M in cash with (33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of Elior SCA shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Elior Stock Analysis
When running Elior SCA's price analysis, check to measure Elior SCA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elior SCA is operating at the current time. Most of Elior SCA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elior SCA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elior SCA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elior SCA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.