Everyman Media (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.95

EMAN Stock   53.50  0.00  0.00%   
Everyman Media's future price is the expected price of Everyman Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Everyman Media Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Everyman Media Backtesting, Everyman Media Valuation, Everyman Media Correlation, Everyman Media Hype Analysis, Everyman Media Volatility, Everyman Media History as well as Everyman Media Performance.
  
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Everyman Media Target Price Odds to finish below 44.95

The tendency of Everyman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  44.95  or more in 90 days
 53.50 90 days 44.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Everyman Media to drop to  44.95  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Everyman Media Group probability density function shows the probability of Everyman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Everyman Media Group price to stay between  44.95  and its current price of 53.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Everyman Media Group has a beta of -0.32 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Everyman Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Everyman Media Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Everyman Media Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Everyman Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Everyman Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Everyman Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.8353.5055.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.9546.6258.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.3653.0354.70
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.15-0.15-0.15
Details

Everyman Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Everyman Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Everyman Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Everyman Media Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Everyman Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Everyman Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Everyman Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Everyman Media Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Everyman Media Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 90.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.9 M.
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Everyman Media Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Everyman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Everyman Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Everyman Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 M

Everyman Media Technical Analysis

Everyman Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Everyman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Everyman Media Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Everyman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Everyman Media Predictive Forecast Models

Everyman Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Everyman Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Everyman Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Everyman Media Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Everyman Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Everyman Media Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Everyman Media Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 90.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.9 M.
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Everyman Stock Analysis

When running Everyman Media's price analysis, check to measure Everyman Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Everyman Media is operating at the current time. Most of Everyman Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Everyman Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Everyman Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Everyman Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.