Embla Medical (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.60
| EMBLA Stock | 35.60 0.20 0.56% |
Embla |
Embla Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 29.60
The tendency of Embla Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 29.60 or more in 90 days |
| 35.60 | 90 days | 29.60 | nearly 4.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Embla Medical to drop to 29.60 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.39 (This Embla Medical hf probability density function shows the probability of Embla Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Embla Medical hf price to stay between 29.60 and its current price of 35.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Embla Medical hf has a beta of -0.11 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Embla Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Embla Medical hf is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Embla Medical hf has an alpha of 0.3012, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Embla Medical Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Embla Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Embla Medical hf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Embla Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Embla Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Embla Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Embla Medical hf.Embla Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Embla Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Embla Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Embla Medical hf, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Embla Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Embla Medical Technical Analysis
Embla Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Embla Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Embla Medical hf. In general, you should focus on analyzing Embla Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Embla Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Embla Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Embla Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Embla Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Embla Medical in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Embla Medical's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Embla Medical options trading.