EMC Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 127.15

EMC Stock  THB 0.08  0.01  11.11%   
EMC Public's future price is the expected price of EMC Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EMC Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EMC Public Backtesting, EMC Public Valuation, EMC Public Correlation, EMC Public Hype Analysis, EMC Public Volatility, EMC Public History as well as EMC Public Performance.
  
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EMC Public Target Price Odds to finish over 127.15

The tendency of EMC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  127.15  or more in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 127.15 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EMC Public to move over  127.15  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This EMC Public probability density function shows the probability of EMC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EMC Public price to stay between its current price of  0.08  and  127.15  at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.62 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, EMC Public will likely underperform. Additionally EMC Public has an alpha of 0.147, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   EMC Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EMC Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EMC Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0854.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0654.06
Details

EMC Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EMC Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EMC Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EMC Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EMC Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

EMC Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EMC Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EMC Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EMC Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
EMC Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
EMC Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (85.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.74 M.
EMC Public has accumulated about 77.17 M in cash with (65.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

EMC Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EMC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EMC Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EMC Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.4 B

EMC Public Technical Analysis

EMC Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EMC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EMC Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing EMC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EMC Public Predictive Forecast Models

EMC Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many EMC Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EMC Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EMC Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about EMC Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EMC Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EMC Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
EMC Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
EMC Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (85.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.74 M.
EMC Public has accumulated about 77.17 M in cash with (65.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in EMC Stock

EMC Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether EMC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EMC with respect to the benefits of owning EMC Public security.