Fastighetsbolaget (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.15

EMIL-B Stock   46.50  1.60  3.33%   
Fastighetsbolaget's future price is the expected price of Fastighetsbolaget instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fastighetsbolaget Backtesting, Fastighetsbolaget Valuation, Fastighetsbolaget Correlation, Fastighetsbolaget Hype Analysis, Fastighetsbolaget Volatility, Fastighetsbolaget History as well as Fastighetsbolaget Performance.
  
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Fastighetsbolaget Target Price Odds to finish below 28.15

The tendency of Fastighetsbolaget Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  28.15  or more in 90 days
 46.50 90 days 28.15 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fastighetsbolaget to drop to  28.15  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB probability density function shows the probability of Fastighetsbolaget Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fastighetsbolaget price to stay between  28.15  and its current price of 46.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fastighetsbolaget has a beta of 0.42 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Fastighetsbolaget average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB has an alpha of 0.1216, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fastighetsbolaget Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fastighetsbolaget

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fastighetsbolaget. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.9848.1050.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.8346.9549.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.4850.6052.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.7546.9149.06
Details

Fastighetsbolaget Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fastighetsbolaget is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fastighetsbolaget's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fastighetsbolaget within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Fastighetsbolaget Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fastighetsbolaget for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fastighetsbolaget can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fastighetsbolaget Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fastighetsbolaget Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fastighetsbolaget's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fastighetsbolaget's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float27.2 M

Fastighetsbolaget Technical Analysis

Fastighetsbolaget's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fastighetsbolaget Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fastighetsbolaget Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fastighetsbolaget Predictive Forecast Models

Fastighetsbolaget's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fastighetsbolaget's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fastighetsbolaget's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fastighetsbolaget

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fastighetsbolaget for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fastighetsbolaget help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fastighetsbolaget Stock

Fastighetsbolaget financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fastighetsbolaget Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fastighetsbolaget with respect to the benefits of owning Fastighetsbolaget security.