Eminis Ambalaj (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 290.38
| EMNIS Stock | TRY 245.00 19.60 8.70% |
Eminis |
Eminis Ambalaj Target Price Odds to finish over 290.38
The tendency of Eminis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 290.38 or more in 90 days |
| 245.00 | 90 days | 290.38 | about 36.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eminis Ambalaj to move over 290.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 36.18 (This Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Eminis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi price to stay between its current price of 245.00 and 290.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi has a beta of -0.33 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eminis Ambalaj are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Eminis Ambalaj Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Eminis Ambalaj
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eminis Ambalaj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eminis Ambalaj Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eminis Ambalaj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eminis Ambalaj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eminis Ambalaj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 29.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Eminis Ambalaj Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eminis Ambalaj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Eminis Ambalaj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Eminis Ambalaj has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Eminis Ambalaj has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Eminis Ambalaj Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eminis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eminis Ambalaj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eminis Ambalaj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M |
Eminis Ambalaj Technical Analysis
Eminis Ambalaj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eminis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eminis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eminis Ambalaj Predictive Forecast Models
Eminis Ambalaj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eminis Ambalaj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eminis Ambalaj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eminis Ambalaj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Eminis Ambalaj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Eminis Ambalaj has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Eminis Ambalaj has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Eminis Stock
Eminis Ambalaj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eminis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eminis with respect to the benefits of owning Eminis Ambalaj security.