Elang Mahkota (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 478.66
| EMTK Stock | IDR 482.00 8.00 1.69% |
Elang |
Elang Mahkota Target Price Odds to finish below 478.66
The tendency of Elang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 478.66 or more in 90 days |
| 482.00 | 90 days | 478.66 | about 83.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Elang Mahkota to drop to 478.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 83.28 (This Elang Mahkota Teknologi probability density function shows the probability of Elang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Elang Mahkota Teknologi price to stay between 478.66 and its current price of 482.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Elang Mahkota Teknologi has a beta of -0.85 suggesting Additionally Elang Mahkota Teknologi has an alpha of 0.4005, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Elang Mahkota Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Elang Mahkota
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elang Mahkota Teknologi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Elang Mahkota Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Elang Mahkota is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Elang Mahkota's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Elang Mahkota Teknologi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Elang Mahkota within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 38.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Elang Mahkota Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Elang Mahkota for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Elang Mahkota Teknologi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Elang Mahkota had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Elang Mahkota Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Elang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Elang Mahkota's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elang Mahkota's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.3 T |
Elang Mahkota Technical Analysis
Elang Mahkota's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Elang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Elang Mahkota Teknologi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Elang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Elang Mahkota Predictive Forecast Models
Elang Mahkota's time-series forecasting models is one of many Elang Mahkota's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Elang Mahkota's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Elang Mahkota Teknologi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Elang Mahkota for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Elang Mahkota Teknologi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Elang Mahkota had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Elang Stock
Elang Mahkota financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elang with respect to the benefits of owning Elang Mahkota security.