Energa SA (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.69

EN2 Stock  EUR 4.69  0.05  1.05%   
Energa SA's future price is the expected price of Energa SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Energa SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Energa SA Analysis, Energa SA Valuation, Energa SA Correlation, Energa SA Hype Analysis, Energa SA Volatility, Energa SA Price History as well as Energa SA Performance.
  
Please specify Energa SA's target price for which you would like Energa SA odds to be computed.

Energa SA Target Price Odds to finish over 4.69

The tendency of Energa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.69 90 days 4.69 
about 28.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Energa SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.24 (This Energa SA probability density function shows the probability of Energa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Energa SA has a beta of -0.22 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Energa SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Energa SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Energa SA has an alpha of 0.4549, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Energa SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Energa SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energa SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.404.696.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.764.056.34
Details

Energa SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Energa SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Energa SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Energa SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Energa SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Energa SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Energa SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Energa SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €223 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Energa SAs Valuation Adjustment Signals Improved Market Position and Growth Potential - Markets Mojo

Energa SA Technical Analysis

Energa SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Energa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Energa SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Energa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Energa SA Predictive Forecast Models

Energa SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Energa SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Energa SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Energa SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Energa SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Energa SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has €223 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Energa SAs Valuation Adjustment Signals Improved Market Position and Growth Potential - Markets Mojo

Other Information on Investing in Energa Stock

Energa SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Energa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Energa with respect to the benefits of owning Energa SA security.