ENDESA ADR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.31

ENAA Stock  EUR 9.85  0.10  1.01%   
ENDESA ADR's future price is the expected price of ENDESA ADR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ENDESA ADR 12 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ENDESA ADR Backtesting, ENDESA ADR Valuation, ENDESA ADR Correlation, ENDESA ADR Hype Analysis, ENDESA ADR Volatility, ENDESA ADR History as well as ENDESA ADR Performance.
  
Please specify ENDESA ADR's target price for which you would like ENDESA ADR odds to be computed.

ENDESA ADR Target Price Odds to finish over 11.31

The tendency of ENDESA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 11.31  or more in 90 days
 9.85 90 days 11.31 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ENDESA ADR to move over € 11.31  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ENDESA ADR 12 probability density function shows the probability of ENDESA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ENDESA ADR 12 price to stay between its current price of € 9.85  and € 11.31  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ENDESA ADR has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ENDESA ADR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ENDESA ADR 12 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ENDESA ADR 12 has an alpha of 0.054, implying that it can generate a 0.054 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ENDESA ADR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ENDESA ADR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ENDESA ADR 12. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.599.8511.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.449.7010.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ENDESA ADR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ENDESA ADR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ENDESA ADR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ENDESA ADR 12.

ENDESA ADR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ENDESA ADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ENDESA ADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ENDESA ADR 12, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ENDESA ADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

ENDESA ADR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ENDESA ADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ENDESA ADR 12 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ENDESA ADR 12 has accumulated 8.37 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. ENDESA ADR 12 has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ENDESA ADR until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ENDESA ADR's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ENDESA ADR 12 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ENDESA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ENDESA ADR's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

ENDESA ADR Technical Analysis

ENDESA ADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ENDESA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ENDESA ADR 12. In general, you should focus on analyzing ENDESA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ENDESA ADR Predictive Forecast Models

ENDESA ADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many ENDESA ADR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ENDESA ADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ENDESA ADR 12

Checking the ongoing alerts about ENDESA ADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ENDESA ADR 12 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ENDESA ADR 12 has accumulated 8.37 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. ENDESA ADR 12 has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ENDESA ADR until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ENDESA ADR's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ENDESA ADR 12 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ENDESA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ENDESA ADR's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in ENDESA Stock

ENDESA ADR financial ratios help investors to determine whether ENDESA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ENDESA with respect to the benefits of owning ENDESA ADR security.