Encanto Potash Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0306
| ENCTF Stock | USD 0.03 0.00 0.00% |
Encanto |
Encanto Potash Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0306
The tendency of Encanto Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 5.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Encanto Potash to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.96 (This Encanto Potash Corp probability density function shows the probability of Encanto Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Encanto Potash Corp price to stay between $ 0.03 and its current price of $0.0309 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Encanto Potash Corp has a beta of -0.0996 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Encanto Potash are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Encanto Potash Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Encanto Potash Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Encanto Potash Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Encanto Potash
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Encanto Potash Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Encanto Potash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Encanto Potash Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Encanto Potash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Encanto Potash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Encanto Potash Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Encanto Potash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Encanto Potash Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Encanto Potash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Encanto Potash Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Encanto Potash Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Encanto Potash Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Encanto Potash Corp has accumulated about 29.47 K in cash with (37.89 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Encanto Potash Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Encanto Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Encanto Potash's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encanto Potash's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.3 M |
Encanto Potash Technical Analysis
Encanto Potash's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Encanto Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Encanto Potash Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Encanto Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Encanto Potash Predictive Forecast Models
Encanto Potash's time-series forecasting models is one of many Encanto Potash's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Encanto Potash's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Encanto Potash Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Encanto Potash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Encanto Potash Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Encanto Potash Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Encanto Potash Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Encanto Potash Corp has accumulated about 29.47 K in cash with (37.89 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Encanto Pink Sheet
Encanto Potash financial ratios help investors to determine whether Encanto Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Encanto with respect to the benefits of owning Encanto Potash security.