Endymed (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 305.91

ENDY Stock   299.90  0.10  0.03%   
Endymed's future price is the expected price of Endymed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Endymed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Endymed Backtesting, Endymed Valuation, Endymed Correlation, Endymed Hype Analysis, Endymed Volatility, Endymed History as well as Endymed Performance.
  
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Endymed Target Price Odds to finish over 305.91

The tendency of Endymed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  305.91  or more in 90 days
 299.90 90 days 305.91 
about 8.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Endymed to move over  305.91  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.21 (This Endymed probability density function shows the probability of Endymed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Endymed price to stay between its current price of  299.90  and  305.91  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Endymed has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Endymed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Endymed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Endymed has an alpha of 0.1005, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Endymed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Endymed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Endymed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
293.10299.90306.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
226.22233.02329.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
250.03256.82263.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
288.86300.47312.08
Details

Endymed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Endymed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Endymed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Endymed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Endymed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
36.95
Ir
Information ratio 0

Endymed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Endymed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Endymed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Endymed is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Endymed appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Endymed Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Endymed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Endymed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Endymed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.7 M

Endymed Technical Analysis

Endymed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Endymed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Endymed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Endymed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Endymed Predictive Forecast Models

Endymed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Endymed's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Endymed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Endymed

Checking the ongoing alerts about Endymed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Endymed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Endymed is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Endymed appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Endymed Stock

Endymed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Endymed Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Endymed with respect to the benefits of owning Endymed security.