Enento Group (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.11

ENENTO Stock  EUR 17.78  0.08  0.45%   
Enento Group's future price is the expected price of Enento Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Enento Group Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Enento Group Backtesting, Enento Group Valuation, Enento Group Correlation, Enento Group Hype Analysis, Enento Group Volatility, Enento Group History as well as Enento Group Performance.
  
Please specify Enento Group's target price for which you would like Enento Group odds to be computed.

Enento Group Target Price Odds to finish below 14.11

The tendency of Enento Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 14.11  or more in 90 days
 17.78 90 days 14.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enento Group to drop to € 14.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Enento Group Plc probability density function shows the probability of Enento Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Enento Group Plc price to stay between € 14.11  and its current price of €17.78 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Enento Group has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Enento Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Enento Group Plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Enento Group Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Enento Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Enento Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enento Group Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enento Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1418.4219.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2618.5419.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6816.9618.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.4918.3819.26
Details

Enento Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enento Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enento Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enento Group Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enento Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Enento Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enento Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enento Group Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Enento Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enento Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enento Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enento Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24 M

Enento Group Technical Analysis

Enento Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enento Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enento Group Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enento Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Enento Group Predictive Forecast Models

Enento Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enento Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enento Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Enento Group Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Enento Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enento Group Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Enento Stock

Enento Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enento Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enento with respect to the benefits of owning Enento Group security.