Grupo Ecoener (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.28

ENER Stock  EUR 4.34  0.04  0.93%   
Grupo Ecoener's future price is the expected price of Grupo Ecoener instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grupo Ecoener SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grupo Ecoener Backtesting, Grupo Ecoener Valuation, Grupo Ecoener Correlation, Grupo Ecoener Hype Analysis, Grupo Ecoener Volatility, Grupo Ecoener History as well as Grupo Ecoener Performance.
  
Please specify Grupo Ecoener's target price for which you would like Grupo Ecoener odds to be computed.

Grupo Ecoener Target Price Odds to finish over 4.28

The tendency of Grupo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 4.28  in 90 days
 4.34 90 days 4.28 
about 22.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Ecoener to stay above € 4.28  in 90 days from now is about 22.94 (This Grupo Ecoener SA probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grupo Ecoener SA price to stay between € 4.28  and its current price of €4.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grupo Ecoener has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Grupo Ecoener average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grupo Ecoener SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grupo Ecoener SA has an alpha of 0.1616, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grupo Ecoener Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grupo Ecoener

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Ecoener SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.624.346.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.494.215.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.504.225.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.264.364.47
Details

Grupo Ecoener Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Ecoener is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Ecoener's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Ecoener SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Ecoener within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Grupo Ecoener Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Ecoener for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Ecoener SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Grupo Ecoener Technical Analysis

Grupo Ecoener's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Ecoener SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grupo Ecoener Predictive Forecast Models

Grupo Ecoener's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Ecoener's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo Ecoener's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grupo Ecoener SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Ecoener for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Ecoener SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Grupo Stock

Grupo Ecoener financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Ecoener security.