Energy Income Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 1.46

ENI-UN Etf  CAD 1.71  0.04  2.29%   
Energy Income's future price is the expected price of Energy Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Energy Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Energy Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Energy Income Correlation, Energy Income Hype Analysis, Energy Income Volatility, Energy Income History as well as Energy Income Performance.
  
Please specify Energy Income's target price for which you would like Energy Income odds to be computed.

Energy Income Target Price Odds to finish below 1.46

The tendency of Energy Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 1.46  or more in 90 days
 1.71 90 days 1.46 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Energy Income to drop to C$ 1.46  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Energy Income probability density function shows the probability of Energy Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Energy Income price to stay between C$ 1.46  and its current price of C$1.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Energy Income has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Energy Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Energy Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Energy Income has an alpha of 0.1119, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Energy Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Energy Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energy Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Energy Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.713.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.563.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.713.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.691.721.76
Details

Energy Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Energy Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Energy Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Energy Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Energy Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Energy Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Energy Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Energy Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Energy Income may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (2 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.54 M).

Energy Income Technical Analysis

Energy Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Energy Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Energy Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Energy Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Energy Income Predictive Forecast Models

Energy Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Energy Income's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Energy Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Energy Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Energy Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Energy Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Energy Income may become a speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (2 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.54 M).

Other Information on Investing in Energy Etf

Energy Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Energy Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Energy with respect to the benefits of owning Energy Income security.