Ensurge Micropower (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

ENSU Stock   0.83  0.05  5.68%   
Ensurge Micropower's future price is the expected price of Ensurge Micropower instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ensurge Micropower ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ensurge Micropower Backtesting, Ensurge Micropower Valuation, Ensurge Micropower Correlation, Ensurge Micropower Hype Analysis, Ensurge Micropower Volatility, Ensurge Micropower History as well as Ensurge Micropower Performance.
  
Please specify Ensurge Micropower's target price for which you would like Ensurge Micropower odds to be computed.

Ensurge Micropower Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Ensurge Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.83 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ensurge Micropower to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ensurge Micropower ASA probability density function shows the probability of Ensurge Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ensurge Micropower ASA price to stay between  0.01  and its current price of 0.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 suggesting Ensurge Micropower ASA market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ensurge Micropower is expected to follow. Additionally Ensurge Micropower ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ensurge Micropower Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ensurge Micropower

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ensurge Micropower ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.836.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.796.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.846.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.800.850.89
Details

Ensurge Micropower Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ensurge Micropower is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ensurge Micropower's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ensurge Micropower ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ensurge Micropower within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Ensurge Micropower Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ensurge Micropower for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ensurge Micropower ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ensurge Micropower generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ensurge Micropower has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ensurge Micropower has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ensurge Micropower has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (19.53 M).
Ensurge Micropower ASA has accumulated about 6.85 M in cash with (14.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ensurge Micropower Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ensurge Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ensurge Micropower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ensurge Micropower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding194.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.9 M

Ensurge Micropower Technical Analysis

Ensurge Micropower's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ensurge Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ensurge Micropower ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ensurge Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ensurge Micropower Predictive Forecast Models

Ensurge Micropower's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ensurge Micropower's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ensurge Micropower's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ensurge Micropower ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ensurge Micropower for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ensurge Micropower ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ensurge Micropower generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ensurge Micropower has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ensurge Micropower has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ensurge Micropower has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (19.53 M).
Ensurge Micropower ASA has accumulated about 6.85 M in cash with (14.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ensurge Stock

Ensurge Micropower financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ensurge Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ensurge with respect to the benefits of owning Ensurge Micropower security.