Empresa Nacional (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2971.63
| ENTEL Stock | CLP 2,908 26.50 0.90% |
Empresa |
Empresa Nacional Target Price Odds to finish below 2971.63
The tendency of Empresa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2,972 after 90 days |
| 2,908 | 90 days | 2,972 | about 34.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Empresa Nacional to stay under 2,972 after 90 days from now is about 34.36 (This Empresa Nacional de probability density function shows the probability of Empresa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Empresa Nacional price to stay between its current price of 2,908 and 2,972 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Empresa Nacional de has a beta of -0.33 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Empresa Nacional are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Empresa Nacional de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Empresa Nacional de has an alpha of 0.0825, implying that it can generate a 0.0825 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Empresa Nacional Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Empresa Nacional
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empresa Nacional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Empresa Nacional Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Empresa Nacional is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Empresa Nacional's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Empresa Nacional de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Empresa Nacional within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 112.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Empresa Nacional Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Empresa Nacional for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Empresa Nacional can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Empresa Nacional has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Empresa Nacional Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Empresa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Empresa Nacional's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empresa Nacional's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 302 M |
Empresa Nacional Technical Analysis
Empresa Nacional's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Empresa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Empresa Nacional de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Empresa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Empresa Nacional Predictive Forecast Models
Empresa Nacional's time-series forecasting models is one of many Empresa Nacional's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Empresa Nacional's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Empresa Nacional
Checking the ongoing alerts about Empresa Nacional for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Empresa Nacional help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Empresa Nacional has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Empresa Stock Analysis
When running Empresa Nacional's price analysis, check to measure Empresa Nacional's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empresa Nacional is operating at the current time. Most of Empresa Nacional's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empresa Nacional's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empresa Nacional's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empresa Nacional to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.