EON SE (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.6

EOAA Stock  EUR 11.50  0.50  4.17%   
EON SE's future price is the expected price of EON SE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EON SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EON SE Backtesting, EON SE Valuation, EON SE Correlation, EON SE Hype Analysis, EON SE Volatility, EON SE History as well as EON SE Performance.
  
Please specify EON SE's target price for which you would like EON SE odds to be computed.

EON SE Target Price Odds to finish below 11.6

The tendency of EON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 11.60  after 90 days
 11.50 90 days 11.60 
about 11.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EON SE to stay under € 11.60  after 90 days from now is about 11.4 (This EON SE probability density function shows the probability of EON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EON SE price to stay between its current price of € 11.50  and € 11.60  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EON SE has a beta of 0.41 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EON SE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EON SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EON SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EON SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EON SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EON SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5411.5013.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0211.9713.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EON SE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EON SE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EON SE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EON SE.

EON SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EON SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EON SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EON SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EON SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

EON SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EON SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EON SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EON SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EON SE has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

EON SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EON SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EON SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 B

EON SE Technical Analysis

EON SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EON SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing EON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EON SE Predictive Forecast Models

EON SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many EON SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EON SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EON SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about EON SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EON SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EON SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EON SE has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Other Information on Investing in EON Stock

EON SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether EON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EON with respect to the benefits of owning EON SE security.