Ecofibre (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.95
| EOF Stock | 0.04 0 5.00% |
Ecofibre |
Ecofibre Target Price Odds to finish over 25.95
The tendency of Ecofibre Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 25.95 or more in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 25.95 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ecofibre to move over 25.95 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ecofibre probability density function shows the probability of Ecofibre Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ecofibre price to stay between its current price of 0.04 and 25.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ecofibre has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Ecofibre market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ecofibre is expected to follow. Additionally Ecofibre has an alpha of 0.6062, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ecofibre Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ecofibre
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecofibre. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ecofibre Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ecofibre is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ecofibre's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ecofibre, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ecofibre within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Ecofibre Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ecofibre for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ecofibre can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ecofibre is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ecofibre has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ecofibre appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ecofibre has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 27.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.47 M. | |
| Ecofibre has accumulated about 7.25 M in cash with (14.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ecofibre Ltd. Announces Cessation of Securities - TipRanks |
Ecofibre Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ecofibre Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ecofibre's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ecofibre's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 360.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M | |
| Shares Float | 113.5 M |
Ecofibre Technical Analysis
Ecofibre's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ecofibre Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ecofibre. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ecofibre Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ecofibre Predictive Forecast Models
Ecofibre's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ecofibre's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ecofibre's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ecofibre
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ecofibre for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ecofibre help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ecofibre is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ecofibre has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ecofibre appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ecofibre has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 27.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.47 M. | |
| Ecofibre has accumulated about 7.25 M in cash with (14.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ecofibre Ltd. Announces Cessation of Securities - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Ecofibre Stock Analysis
When running Ecofibre's price analysis, check to measure Ecofibre's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ecofibre is operating at the current time. Most of Ecofibre's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ecofibre's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ecofibre's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ecofibre to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.