Eolus Vind (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.0

EOLU-B Stock  SEK 46.00  0.85  1.81%   
Eolus Vind's future price is the expected price of Eolus Vind instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eolus Vind AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eolus Vind Backtesting, Eolus Vind Valuation, Eolus Vind Correlation, Eolus Vind Hype Analysis, Eolus Vind Volatility, Eolus Vind History as well as Eolus Vind Performance.
  
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Eolus Vind Target Price Odds to finish below 46.0

The tendency of Eolus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 46.00 90 days 46.00 
about 19.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eolus Vind to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 19.9 (This Eolus Vind AB probability density function shows the probability of Eolus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.41 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Eolus Vind will likely underperform. Additionally Eolus Vind AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Eolus Vind Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eolus Vind

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eolus Vind AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.1846.0048.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.8746.6949.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.5045.3248.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.4846.2847.08
Details

Eolus Vind Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eolus Vind is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eolus Vind's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eolus Vind AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eolus Vind within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.41
σ
Overall volatility
4.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Eolus Vind Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eolus Vind for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eolus Vind AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eolus Vind AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has kr21 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company reported the revenue of 2.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129 M.
Eolus Vind AB has accumulated about 625 M in cash with (97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.42.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Eolus Vind Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eolus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eolus Vind's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eolus Vind's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments625 M

Eolus Vind Technical Analysis

Eolus Vind's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eolus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eolus Vind AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eolus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eolus Vind Predictive Forecast Models

Eolus Vind's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eolus Vind's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eolus Vind's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eolus Vind AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eolus Vind for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eolus Vind AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eolus Vind AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has kr21 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company reported the revenue of 2.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129 M.
Eolus Vind AB has accumulated about 625 M in cash with (97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.42.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Eolus Stock

Eolus Vind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eolus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eolus with respect to the benefits of owning Eolus Vind security.