ACTEOS SA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.18

EOS Stock  EUR 1.18  0.02  1.67%   
ACTEOS SA's future price is the expected price of ACTEOS SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ACTEOS SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ACTEOS SA Backtesting, ACTEOS SA Valuation, ACTEOS SA Correlation, ACTEOS SA Hype Analysis, ACTEOS SA Volatility, ACTEOS SA History as well as ACTEOS SA Performance.
  
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ACTEOS SA Target Price Odds to finish below 1.18

The tendency of ACTEOS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1.18 90 days 1.18 
about 1.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACTEOS SA to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 1.17 (This ACTEOS SA probability density function shows the probability of ACTEOS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ACTEOS SA has a beta of -0.12 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ACTEOS SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ACTEOS SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ACTEOS SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ACTEOS SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ACTEOS SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACTEOS SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.183.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.043.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.173.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.181.181.18
Details

ACTEOS SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACTEOS SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACTEOS SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACTEOS SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACTEOS SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

ACTEOS SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACTEOS SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACTEOS SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ACTEOS SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ACTEOS SA may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 12.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (735.42 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.12 M.
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ACTEOS SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACTEOS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ACTEOS SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACTEOS SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

ACTEOS SA Technical Analysis

ACTEOS SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACTEOS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACTEOS SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACTEOS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ACTEOS SA Predictive Forecast Models

ACTEOS SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many ACTEOS SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACTEOS SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ACTEOS SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about ACTEOS SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACTEOS SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ACTEOS SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ACTEOS SA may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 12.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (735.42 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.12 M.
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ACTEOS Stock

ACTEOS SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACTEOS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACTEOS with respect to the benefits of owning ACTEOS SA security.