EP Financial (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03
| EP1 Stock | 0.51 0.01 1.92% |
EP1 |
EP Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03
The tendency of EP1 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 0.51 | 90 days | 0.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EP Financial to drop to 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This EP Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of EP1 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EP Financial Group price to stay between 0.03 and its current price of 0.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EP Financial Group has a beta of -0.0289 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding EP Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, EP Financial Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally EP Financial Group has an alpha of 0.1839, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). EP Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EP Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EP Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EP Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EP Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EP Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EP Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EP Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
EP Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EP Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EP Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EP Financial Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| EP Financial Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| EP Financial Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 141.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 166.56 M. | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: EP Financial Group Unveils Share Buy-Back Plan - MSN |
EP Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EP1 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EP Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EP Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 229.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.9 M | |
| Shares Float | 146.3 M |
EP Financial Technical Analysis
EP Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EP1 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EP Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing EP1 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EP Financial Predictive Forecast Models
EP Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many EP Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EP Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EP Financial Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about EP Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EP Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EP Financial Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| EP Financial Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| EP Financial Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 141.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 166.56 M. | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: EP Financial Group Unveils Share Buy-Back Plan - MSN |
Additional Tools for EP1 Stock Analysis
When running EP Financial's price analysis, check to measure EP Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EP Financial is operating at the current time. Most of EP Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EP Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EP Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EP Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.