Ep Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.26

EPEIX Fund  USD 10.27  0.05  0.49%   
Ep Emerging's future price is the expected price of Ep Emerging instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ep Emerging Markets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ep Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ep Emerging Correlation, Ep Emerging Hype Analysis, Ep Emerging Volatility, Ep Emerging History as well as Ep Emerging Performance.
  
Please specify Ep Emerging's target price for which you would like Ep Emerging odds to be computed.

Ep Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 10.26

The tendency of EPEIX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.26  or more in 90 days
 10.27 90 days 10.26 
about 19.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ep Emerging to drop to $ 10.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.88 (This Ep Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of EPEIX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ep Emerging Markets price to stay between $ 10.26  and its current price of $10.27 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ep Emerging has a beta of 0.033 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ep Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ep Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ep Emerging Markets has an alpha of 0.0142, implying that it can generate a 0.0142 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ep Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ep Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ep Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.1310.2211.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.769.8510.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.2910.3811.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9110.6211.33
Details

Ep Emerging Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ep Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ep Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ep Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ep Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Ep Emerging Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ep Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ep Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -6.0%
Ep Emerging Markets retains 95.75% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Ep Emerging Technical Analysis

Ep Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EPEIX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ep Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing EPEIX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ep Emerging Predictive Forecast Models

Ep Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ep Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ep Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ep Emerging Markets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ep Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ep Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -6.0%
Ep Emerging Markets retains 95.75% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in EPEIX Mutual Fund

Ep Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether EPEIX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EPEIX with respect to the benefits of owning Ep Emerging security.
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